Population Characteristics
According to the latest census, Terrace Bay has a population of around 1,528 people. The town's population is in decreased . Between 2016 and 2021, the population of Terrace Bay has decreased by ▼ -5.15%.
| Population in 2016 | Population in 2021 | Difference |
|---|---|---|
| 1,611 | 1,528 | --5.15% |
2026 Population Projection
Terrace Bay's population declined between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, so a 2026 growth projection is not shown. The most recent confirmed figure remains the 1,528 people recorded in the 2021 census.
Terrace Bay Population Trend & Context
Terrace Bay is the 254th-largest town in Ontario, with a 2021 census population of 1,528 — a decline of 83 (▼ 5.15%) people from the 1,611 recorded in 2016.
The town's population has declined noticeably over this period, reflecting broader pressures facing Ontario towns. The town's median age of 48.8 years — above the national median of 41.9 — suggests a mature, established community rather than a rapidly growing one.
How does Terrace Bay compare to other Ontario towns?
- Strong: 1,566 (2021)
- Brudenell, Lyndoch and Raglan: 1,552 (2021)
- Terrace Bay: 1,528 (2021) ← 254th largest
- Macdonald, Meredith and Aberdeen Additional: 1,513 (2021)
- Moosonee: 1,512 (2021)
Population By Genders
The male population of Terrace Bay is around 790 while the female population is around 740.
Of the 1,528 total population in Terrace Bay, the largest gender is male with around 790 women within the population.
| Male | Female | Difference |
|---|---|---|
| 790 | 740 | -6.33% |
Is Terrace Bay a Good Place to Live?
Based on 2021 Statistics Canada Census data, here's how Terrace Bay compares across key quality-of-life indicators — measured against Ontario, its own province. Draw your own conclusions from the actual numbers.
Employment & Economy
Income & Affordability
Commute
Housing Character
Household Composition
Source: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population.
Terrace Bay Population Compared to Ontario
Ontario's population in 2021 was 14,223,942, spread across the area. Here's how Terrace Bay compares to the town's key indicators:
| Indicator | Terrace Bay | Ontario |
|---|---|---|
| Median household income | $86,000 | $91,000 |
| Unemployment rate | 9.0% | 12.2% |
| Median age | 48.8 | 41.6 |
| Bachelor's degree or higher | 15.8% | 33.4% |
| Immigrants (%) | 11.7% | 30.0% |
Population by Age Characteristics
Terrace Bay has an aging population. The majority of the population is people aged 60 to 64 years old, accounting for 11.10% of the total population. The town median age is 48.80.
| Data | Male | Female | Difference | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 to 64 years | 100 12.70% | 75 10.10% | 25.00% | 170 11.10% |
| 65 to 69 years | 70 8.90% | 65 8.80% | 7.14% | 140 9.20% |
| 55 to 59 years | 65 8.20% | 70 9.50% | 7.14% | 130 8.50% |
| 30 to 34 years | 55 7.00% | 55 7.40% | 0.00% | 110 7.20% |
| 35 to 39 years | 55 7.00% | 55 7.40% | 0.00% | 110 7.20% |
| 70 to 74 years | 55 7.00% | 40 5.40% | 27.27% | 95 6.20% |
| 10 to 14 years | 45 5.70% | 45 6.10% | 0.00% | 90 5.90% |
| 40 to 44 years | 50 6.30% | 40 5.40% | 20.00% | 90 5.90% |
| 5 to 9 years | 40 5.10% | 40 5.40% | 0.00% | 80 5.20% |
| 25 to 29 years | 35 4.40% | 35 4.70% | 0.00% | 70 4.60% |
| 50 to 54 years | 35 4.40% | 35 4.70% | 0.00% | 70 4.60% |
| 0 to 4 years | 35 4.40% | 30 4.10% | 14.29% | 65 4.20% |
| 75 to 79 years | 35 4.40% | 25 3.40% | 28.57% | 65 4.20% |
| 45 to 49 years | 30 3.80% | 30 4.10% | 0.00% | 60 3.90% |
| 15 to 19 years | 30 3.80% | 25 3.40% | 16.67% | 50 3.30% |
| Median age of the population | 48 48.40% | 49 48.80% | 0.00% | 49 48.80% |
| Average age of the population | 45 45.40% | 46 46.20% | 2.16% | 46 45.80% |
| 20 to 24 years | 25 3.20% | 15 2.00% | 40.00% | 45 2.90% |
| 80 to 84 years | 15 1.90% | 25 3.40% | 40.00% | 40 2.60% |
| 85 years and over | 10 1.30% | 30 4.10% | 66.67% | 40 2.60% |
Broader Age Groups
If the town's population is divided into broader age groups, most of the population falls into the 15 to 64 years age group. The group accounts for 59.80% of the population. The other age groups, 65 years and over and 0 to 14 years, account for 24.20% and 15.70%, respectively.
If we look at the population data from the broader age groups, we can see that most people in Terrace Bay are within the 15 to 64 years age group.
| Data | Male | Female | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 to 14 years | 15.20% | 16.20% | 15.70% |
Photos of Places & Sceneries in Terrace Bay
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Explore Terrace Bay Through Videos
Population of Terrace Bay by Ethnicity and Origin
The population of Terrace Bay is quite diverse, which contributes to the town's vibrant cultural landscape. Terrace Bay is inclusive and accepts various ethnic groups with open arms. Furthermore, the town appreciates the unique contributions that each ethnicity brings.
The top 5 ethnicities and origins in Terrace Bay are French, which accounts for 25.75% of the total population, followed by English (24.08%), Irish (21.07%), Scottish (16.05%), and German (11.04%).
Other ethnicities and origins in Terrace Bay include Canadian, Ukrainian, Italian, Finnish, and First Nations (North American Indian).
| Ethnicity and Origin | Male | Female | Percentage in Population |
|---|---|---|---|
| French | 25.17% | 25.85% | 25.75% |
| English | 26.49% | 22.45% | 24.08% |
| Irish | 19.21% | 22.45% | 21.07% |
| Scottish | 13.91% | 19.05% | 16.05% |
| German | 9.27% | 12.24% | 11.04% |
| Canadian | 9.93% | 8.84% | 9.70% |
| Ukrainian | 8.61% | 6.80% | 7.69% |
| Italian | 5.30% | 8.16% | 6.35% |
| Finnish | 7.28% | 5.44% | 6.35% |
| First Nations (North American Indian) | 5.96% | 6.12% | 6.02% |
Immigration Profile
Immigration patterns vary a great deal from one area to another, which makes this data one of the more distinctive parts of Terrace Bay's population profile.
About 11.7% of Terrace Bay's population are immigrants (175 people).
The top countries of origin for Terrace Bay's immigrant population are India (65), United Kingdom (30), Philippines (20), United States of America (10), Brazil (0).
| Country of Birth | Population |
|---|---|
| India | 65 |
| United Kingdom | 30 |
| Philippines | 20 |
| United States of America | 10 |
| Brazil | 0 |
Household and Dwelling Characteristics
About 615 of Terrace Bay's population live in a single-detached house. In addition, most of them are living in 2 persons household.
Household Size
About 19.25% of the population lives in 2 persons households. 1 person households ranked second, accounting for 18.20% of the population. 3 persons, 4 persons, and 5 or more persons households account for 5.60%, 4.55%, and 2.45%, respectively.
| Number of Person(s) in Household | Total | Percentage |
|---|---|---|
| 2 persons | 275 | 19.25% |
| 1 person | 260 | 18.20% |
| 3 persons | 80 | 5.60% |
| 4 persons | 65 | 4.55% |
| 5 or more persons | 35 | 2.45% |
Income in Terrace Bay
Analyzing income distribution in Terrace Bay can help us better understand its socioeconomic dynamics.
Per Capita Income
According to 2020 data, the median personal income within Terrace Bay is $49,600.
A region's per capita data sheds light on the average income earned per person living in it. Since per capita income is calculated by dividing the region's total income by its population, it quantifies the population's economic situation on an individual basis.
Such data offers insights into the town's economic performance, spread of income across individuals, quality of life, as well as disparities within its borders.
Most of Terrace Bay population or around 180 people falls in the $50,000 to $79,999 group. The next largest groups are the $10,000 to $29,999, and $100,000 to $149,999 with around 145 and 130 people, respectively.
Household Income
The Terrace Bay's median household income is $86,000, according to 2020 data.
Above national average Terrace Bay's median household income is 2,000 dollars above the Canadian national median of $84,000 (2020 data, 2021 Census).
The data provides important insights into the town's economic landscape as well as the living standards of its population.
Analyzing such data enables researchers, policymakers, and businesses to gain a more comprehensive understanding of the town's income distribution, disparities, and trends.
Education Levels in Terrace Bay
This data sheds light on the distribution of Terrace Bay residents across educational milestones.
Such information is crucial in shaping the province’s policies on education, workforce development strategies, and initiatives that aim to improve access to quality education and promote lifelong learning opportunities.
52.00% or most of the Terrace Bay population has a Postsecondary certificate, diploma or degree. 35.95% of the population has a High (secondary) school diploma or equivalency certificate, 15.75% has a Bachelor's degree or higher, and 12.80% has No certificate, diploma or degree.
| Degree | Men | Women | Total | Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Postsecondary certificate, diploma or degree | 535 | 520 | 1,065 | 52.00% |
| High (secondary) school diploma or equivalency certificate | 385 | 350 | 740 | 35.95% |
| Bachelor's degree or higher | 155 | 155 | 320 | 15.75% |
| No certificate, diploma or degree | 175 | 95 | 275 | 12.80% |
Below national average 15.8% of Terrace Bay's population has a bachelor's degree or higher, compared to the national average of 32.9% (Canada, 2021 Census).
Employment in Terrace Bay
This dataset provides a snapshot of employment trends in Terrace Bay. It encompasses a wide range of sectors, industries, as well as job categories.
The data shows that the unemployment rate in Terrace Bay is at 4.86% which is pretty low.
| Status | Percentage |
|---|---|
| Employment rate | 49.39% |
| Unemployment rate | 4.86% |
Working as an Employee
The table shows the data on the total number of individuals in the town who work as an employee. The majority of Terrace Bay's population (around 80.50%) are working permanent position as an employee.
Self-employed
In the town, there are 20 men and 15 women working as self-employed individuals, bringing the total number to 40.
| Status | Men | Women | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Self-employed | 20 | 15 | 40 |
Employment Industry Sectors
The Terrace Bay industry employment sector census data offers insights into the region's economic landscape. The distribution of employment in Terrace Bay is categorized and quantified, which reveals the region's economic composition.
Terrace Bay has a wide range of industries. Most of its population (29%) works in the manufacturing sector. The Health care and social assistance sector comes second at 13%, followed by Transportation and warehousing at 11%.
| Industry | Men | Women | Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manufacturing | 145 | 45 | 29% |
| Health care and social assistance | 0 | 75 | 13% |
| Transportation and warehousing | 60 | 0 | 11% |
| Retail trade | 10 | 45 | 8% |
| Educational services | 10 | 45 | 8% |
| Accommodation and food services | 10 | 30 | 7% |
| Public administration | 10 | 10 | 4% |
| Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction | 25 | 0 | 4% |
| Construction | 10 | 15 | 4% |
| Other services (except public administration) | 20 | 0 | 3% |
| Professional, scientific and technical services | 15 | 0 | 2% |
| Arts, entertainment and recreation | 0 | 10 | 2% |
| Information and cultural industries | 0 | 10 | 2% |
| Finance and insurance | 0 | 10 | 2% |
| Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Utilities | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Wholesale trade | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Real estate and rental and leasing | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Management of companies and enterprises | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Administrative and support, waste management and remediation services | 0 | 0 | 0% |
Labour Market Snapshot
A quick snapshot of where Terrace Bay residents work — the leading industry sectors employing them, and the broad occupation categories they work in.
Top employer sectors in Terrace Bay: -33 Manufacturing (29%), Health care and social assistance (13%), -49 Transportation and warehousing (11%)
Top occupation categories in Terrace Bay: Trades, transport and equipment operators and related occupations (28%), Sales and service occupations (22%), Occupations in manufacturing and utilities (12%)
Places of Work
The data offers insights into the commuting patterns as well as workplace distribution in the town. It provides a snapshot of workplaces, showing their geographic distribution and the flow of workers across different areas.
| Work Location | Men | Women | Total | Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Usual place of work | 240 | 270 | 505 | 82.80% |
| No fixed workplace address | 65 | 10 | 70 | 11.50% |
| Worked at home | 0 | 30 | 30 | 4.90% |
| Worked outside Canada | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% |
Commuting
The data sheds light on how Terrace Bay residents travel to school or work. It highlights the frequency of different modes of transportation like walking, cycling, carpooling, and public transit.
The data is pivotal in the making of transportation policies as well as the development of transit systems. Ultimately commuting data contributes to improving the quality of life of Terrace Bay residents and sustainable urban planning.
Commuting Duration
This data reveals the average time that the residents of Terrace Bay spend traveling to their workplaces. It also sheds light on the efficiency of the town's public transit systems, and road networks, as well as the accessibility of the town.
| Duration | Percentage |
|---|---|
| Less than 15 minutes | 80.90% |
| 15 to 29 minutes | 11.30% |
| 60 minutes and over | 5.20% |
| 30 to 44 minutes | 0.00% |
| 45 to 59 minutes | 0.00% |
Marital Status
The statistics on marital status in Terrace Bayshed light on its societal dynamics. It captures the diverse types of marital statuses of the population.
Long-term commitments, such as common-law partnerships, civil unions, and marriages, reflect the town's social fabric. We can gain insights into Terrace Bay's changing preferences and norms by examining the trends in marital status.
Language Spoken
The data below highlights town's linguistic diversity, showing elegances of solo language as well as bilingual harmonies. Other than language, it also shows the cultural landscape in Canada.
English is the most spoken official language in Terrace Bay. About 1,425 people living in the province speak English, 65 people speak French, 5 people speak English and French language, and 5 people speak Neither English nor French language.
| Language | Population |
|---|---|
| English | 1,425 |
| French | 65 |
| English and French | 5 |
| Neither English nor French | 5 |
Mother Tongue & Home Language
Useful for newcomers researching an area: this shows the language residents first learned at home in childhood (mother tongue) and the language they speak most often at home now, which can differ as families settle in.
| Language | Mother Tongue | Spoken Most Often at Home |
|---|---|---|
| English | 85.9% | 93.6% |
| Non-official languages | 7.7% | 2.7% |
| French | 4.4% | 1.0% |
Religion
Terrace Bay is predominantly Christian. About 850 of its population is Christian (415 males and 415 females).
The second largest religion in the province is Hindu with 5.4% of the population adhering to the religion. There are also Muslim and Buddhist, both represent 1.0% and 0.0% of the population, while Jewish represent 0.0% of the population.
| Religion | Population |
|---|---|
| Christian | 56.9% |
| Hindu | 5.4% |
| Islam | 1.0% |
| Buddhist | 0.0% |
| Jewish | 0.0% |
| Sikh | 0.0% |
Points of Interest in Terrace Bay
Hospitals
Schools
- École catholique Franco-Terrace
- St. Martin Catholic School
- Terrace Bay Public School
- Lake Superior High School
Libraries
Places to Visit in Terrace Bay
Historic Sites
Other Towns in Ontario
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- Richmond Hill 202,022
- Whitby 138,501
- Milton 132,979
- Ajax 126,666
- Newmarket 87,942
- Caledon 76,581
- Halton Hills 62,951
- Aurora 62,057
- Whitchurch-Stouffville 49,864
- Georgina 47,642
- New Tecumseth 43,948
- Innisfil 43,326
- Bradford West Gwillimbury 42,880
- Lakeshore 40,410
- East Gwillimbury 34,637
- Fort Erie 32,901
- LaSalle 32,721
- Centre Wellington 31,093
- Orangeville 30,167
- Grimsby 28,883
- King 27,333
- Woolwich 26,999
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- Wasaga Beach 24,862
- Collingwood 24,811
- Amherstburg 23,524
- Tecumseh 23,300
- Oro-Medonte 23,017
- Essa 22,970
- Kingsville 22,119
- Springwater 21,701
- Scugog 21,581
- Uxbridge 21,556
- Wilmot 21,429
- Essex 21,216
- Huntsville 21,147
- Cobourg 20,519
- South Frontenac 20,188
- Russell 19,598
- Niagara-on-the-Lake 19,088
- Selwyn 18,653
- Tillsonburg 18,615
- Pelham 18,192
- Petawawa 18,160
- Loyalist 17,943
- Midland 17,817
- Bracebridge 17,305
- Greater Napanee 16,879
- Saugeen Shores 15,908
- West Lincoln 15,454
- Clearview 14,814
- Mississippi Mills 14,740
- St. Clair 14,659
- Severn 14,576
- Guelph/Eramosa 13,904
- Ingersoll 13,693
- South Stormont 13,570
- South Glengarry 13,330
- Gravenhurst 13,157
- Tiny 12,966
- Perth East 12,595
- Brock 12,567
- Carleton Place 12,517
- Wellington North 12,431
- Erin 11,981
- Wellesley 11,318
- North Dundas 11,304
- Norwich 11,151
- Georgian Bluffs 11,100
- Tay 11,091
- Adjala-Tosorontio 10,989
- Rideau Lakes 10,883
- Mapleton 10,839
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- Ramara 10,377
- Hawkesbury 10,194
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- Penetanguishene 10,077
- Cavan Monaghan 10,016
- Alfred and Plantagenet 9,949
- Leeds and the Thousand Islands 9,804
- Arnprior 9,629
- Elizabethtown-Kitley 9,545
- Laurentian Valley 9,450
- Mono 9,421
- The Blue Mountains 9,390
- Malahide 9,308
- Smiths Falls 9,254
- South Bruce Peninsula 9,137
- Minto 9,094
- Beckwith 9,021
- Shelburne 8,994
- Southgate 8,716
- Champlain 8,665
- Zorra 8,628
- Plympton-Wyoming 8,308
- Renfrew 8,190
- Drummond/North Elmsley 8,183
- Kapuskasing 8,057
- Hanover 7,967
- Puslinch 7,944
- Goderich 7,881
- East Zorra-Tavistock 7,841
- Stone Mills 7,826
- Kirkland Lake 7,750
- Huron-Kinloss 7,723
- Aylmer 7,699
- Muskoka Lakes 7,652
- Douro-Dummer 7,632
- McNab/Braeside 7,591
- South-West Oxford 7,583
- Blandford-Blenheim 7,565
- Edwardsburgh/Cardinal 7,505
- Alnwick/Haldimand 7,473
- Fort Frances 7,466
- North Stormont 7,400
- Augusta 7,386
- St. Marys 7,386
- Whitewater Region 7,225
- Otonabee-South Monaghan 7,087
- Chatsworth 7,080
- Minden Hills 6,971
- Wainfleet 6,887
- Parry Sound 6,879
- Cramahe 6,509
- Perth 6,469
- Petrolia 6,013
- Tay Valley 5,925
- Ashfield-Colborne-Wawanosh 5,884
- Lanark Highlands 5,737
- Lucan Biddulph 5,680
- Cochrane 5,390
- Gananoque 5,383
- Seguin 5,280
- Espanola 5,185
- Havelock-Belmont-Methuen 5,083
- North Huron 5,052
- Stirling-Rawdon 5,015
- Central Frontenac 4,892
- Southwold 4,851
- Hearst 4,794
- Asphodel-Norwood 4,658
- Tyendinaga 4,538
- Iroquois Falls 4,418
- Amaranth 4,327
- Deep River 4,175
- Prescott 4,078
- Bancroft 4,065
- Howick 4,045
- Madawaska Valley 3,927
- Montague 3,914
- Bonnechere Valley 3,898
- Grand Valley 3,851
- Perth South 3,776
- Lake of Bays 3,759
- Warwick 3,641
- Mulmur 3,571
- Georgian Bay 3,441
- Blind River 3,422
- East Hawkesbury 3,418
- Sables-Spanish Rivers 3,237
- Horton 3,182
- Marathon 3,138
- Melancthon 3,132
- North Algona Wilberforce 3,111
- Athens 3,042
- Adelaide-Metcalfe 3,011
- Admaston/Bromley 2,995
- Laurentian Hills 2,885
- North Kawartha 2,877
- Greater Madawaska 2,864
- Enniskillen 2,825
- East Garafraxa 2,794
- Perry 2,650
- Atikokan 2,642
- Front of Yonge 2,595
- Algonquin Highlands 2,588
- Black River-Matheson 2,572
- Addington Highlands 2,534
- Killaloe, Hagarty and Richards 2,410
- North Frontenac 2,285
- Madoc 2,233
- Bonfield 2,146
- Manitouwadge 1,974
- Dawn-Euphemia 1,968
- Chapleau 1,942
- Frontenac Islands 1,930
- Mattawa 1,881
- Nipissing 1,769
- Deseronto 1,747
- Faraday 1,612
- Strong 1,566
- Brudenell, Lyndoch and Raglan 1,552
- Macdonald, Meredith and Aberdeen Additional 1,513
- Moosonee 1,512
- Carling 1,491
- Nipigon 1,473
- Englehart 1,442
- St. Joseph 1,426
- McKellar 1,419
- Chisholm 1,312
- Thessalon 1,260
- Ignace 1,206
- Emo 1,204
- Smooth Rock Falls 1,200
- Armstrong 1,199
- Moonbeam 1,157
- Laird 1,121
- South Algonquin 1,055
- Schreiber 1,039
- Assiginack 1,008
- Cobalt 989
- Papineau-Cameron 982
- The Archipelago 979
- Prince 975
- Kearney 974
- Machar 969
- Hornepayne 968
- Carlow/Mayo 953
- Ear Falls 924
- McMurrich/Monteith 907
- Red Rock 895
- Gore Bay 808
- Conmee 798
- La Vallee 788
- Chapple 763
- Plummer Additional 757
- Val Rita-Harty 757
- Billings 753
- Rainy River 752
- Johnson 749
- Larder Lake 745
- Ryerson 745
- Tudor and Cashel 740
- Sioux Narrows-Nestor Falls 727
- Wollaston 721
- O'Connor 689
- Spanish 670
- Bruce Mines 582
- Baldwin 579
- McGarry 579
- Dubreuilville 576
- Tarbutt and Tarbutt Additional 573
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- Mattice-Val Cote 542
- The North Shore 531
- Harris 530
- Hudson 530
- Harley 524
- Coleman 517
- Evanturel 502
- Morley 493
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- Tehkummah 450
- Gillies 441
- Limerick 436
- Pickle Lake 398
- Burpee and Mills 382
- Hilton 382
- Dorion 375
- Nairn and Hyman 373
- Latchford 355
- James 348
- Casey 341
- Kerns 330
- Jocelyn 314
- Chamberlain 311
- Lake of the Woods 308
- Joly 293
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Frequently Asked Questions about Terrace Bay
According to the 2021 Statistics Canada Census, Terrace Bay has a population of 1,528 people, making it the 254th town in Ontario. The population declined significantly from 1,611 in 2016, a decrease of 83 people or 5.15%. The town has a population density of 10.1 people per km² across a land area of 151.50 km². The 2026 Census results are expected from Statistics Canada beginning February 2027.
Terrace Bay's population declined by 5.15% between the 2016 and 2021 censuses — from 1,611 to 1,528 people, a loss of 83 residents. This decline is consistent with pressures faced by many other Ontario towns during this period. The median age of 48.80 years suggests an aging population. The relatively high proportion of one-person households (36.4%) may indicate young adults leaving for larger centres. Official 2026 Census data, which will confirm whether this trend continued, is expected from Statistics Canada in February 2027.
Terrace Bay has a population density of approximately 10.10 people per square kilometre.
Terrace Bay covers a land area of approximately 151.50 km².
The median age of the population in Terrace Bay is 48.80 years.
The largest ethnic or cultural origin group in Terrace Bay is French.
The median household income in Terrace Bay is $86,000, based on 2020 data.
English is the most common first official language spoken in Terrace Bay.
Christian is the predominant religion in Terrace Bay.
Statistics Canada (statcan.gc.ca) conducted the 2026 Census of Population in May 2026. However, census data goes through an extensive processing, validation, and quality-assurance period before public release. Based on the release plan, the 2026 Census results begin rolling out on February 10, 2027, with complete community-level profiles available by December 1, 2027. Until then, this page uses 2021 Census data as its primary source, supplemented by a population projection estimate for 2026 calculated using the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from the 2016–2021 Census period.