Population Characteristics
According to the latest census, Shoal Lake 39A has a population of around 445 people. The Indian reserve's population is in increased. Between 2016 and 2021, the population of Shoal Lake 39A has increased by ▲ 13.81%.
| Population in 2016 | Population in 2021 | Difference |
|---|---|---|
| 391 | 445 | +13.81% |
2026 Population Projection
Based on the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.62% observed between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, Shoal Lake 39A's population is projected to reach approximately 506 people by 2026, with a projected population density of around 15.55 people per km².
| Population in 2021 | Projected Population in 2026 | Projected Density in 2026 (per km²) |
|---|---|---|
| 445 | 506 | 15.55 |
This projection is an estimate calculated by CAPopulation from the compound annual growth rate between the 2016 and 2021 censuses. Official 2026 complete census data expected to be released in late 2027.
Shoal Lake 39A Population Trend & Context
Shoal Lake 39A is the 358th-largest Indian reserve in Ontario, with a 2021 census population of 445 — an increase of 54 (▲ 13.81%) people from the 391 recorded in 2016.
The Indian reserve's population has grown steadily over this period, reflecting broader growth trends among Ontario Indian reserves. The Indian reserve's median age of 27.6 years — below the national median of 41.9 — suggests a younger, potentially growing population.
How does Shoal Lake 39A compare to other Ontario Indian reserves?
- Tehkummah: 450 (2021)
- Bearskin Lake: 447 (2021)
- Shoal Lake 39A: 445 (2021) ← 358th largest
- Gillies: 441 (2021)
- Newbury: 440 (2021)
Population By Genders
The male population of Shoal Lake 39A is around 240 while the female population is around 210.
Of the 445 total population in Shoal Lake 39A, the largest gender is male with around 240 male within the population.
| Male | Female | Difference |
|---|---|---|
| 240 | 210 | +12.50% |
Is Shoal Lake 39A a Good Place to Live?
Based on 2021 Statistics Canada Census data, here's how Shoal Lake 39A compares across key quality-of-life indicators — measured against Ontario, its own province. Draw your own conclusions from the actual numbers.
Employment & Economy
Income & Affordability
Commute
Housing Character
Household Composition
Source: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population.
Shoal Lake 39A Population Compared to Ontario
Ontario's population in 2021 was 14,223,942, spread across the area. Here's how Shoal Lake 39A compares to the Indian reserve's key indicators:
| Indicator | Shoal Lake 39A | Ontario |
|---|---|---|
| Median household income | $46,000 | $91,000 |
| Unemployment rate | 15.6% | 12.2% |
| Median age | 27.6 | 41.6 |
| Bachelor's degree or higher | 4.0% | 33.4% |
| Immigrants (%) | 0.0% | 30.0% |
Population by Age Characteristics
Shoal Lake 39A has a young population. The majority of the population is people aged 0 to 4 years old, accounting for 11.20% of the total population. The Indian reserve median age is 27.60.
| Data | Male | Female | Difference | Total |
|---|
Broader Age Groups
If the Indian reserve's population is divided into broader age groups, most of the population falls into the 15 to 64 years age group. The group accounts for 61.80% of the population. The other age groups, 0 to 14 years and 65 years and over, account for 31.50% and 7.90%, respectively.
If we look at the population data from the broader age groups, we can see that most people in Shoal Lake 39A are within the 15 to 64 years age group.
| Data | Male | Female | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 to 64 years | 60.40% | 61.90% | 61.80% |
| 65 years and over | 20.00% | 15.00% | 35.00% |
| 0 to 14 years | 29.20% | 31.00% | 31.50% |
| 65 years and over | 8.30% | 7.10% | 7.90% |
Population of Shoal Lake 39A by Ethnicity and Origin
The population of Shoal Lake 39A is quite diverse, which contributes to the Indian reserve's vibrant cultural landscape. Shoal Lake 39A is inclusive and accepts various ethnic groups with open arms. Furthermore, the Indian reserve appreciates the unique contributions that each ethnicity brings.
The top 5 ethnicities and origins in Shoal Lake 39A are Ojibway, which accounts for 86.52% of the total population, followed by Cree (5.62%), First Nations (North American Indian) (4.49%), Oji-Cree (2.25%), and Canadian (2.25%).
Other ethnicities and origins in Shoal Lake 39A include Scottish, American, North American Indigenous, Saskatchewanian, and Buddhist.
| Ethnicity and Origin | Male | Female | Percentage in Population |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ojibway | 87.23% | 87.80% | 86.52% |
| Cree | 4.26% | 4.88% | 5.62% |
| First Nations (North American Indian) | 4.26% | 4.88% | 4.49% |
| Oji-Cree | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.25% |
| Canadian | 0.00% | 4.88% | 2.25% |
| Scottish | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.25% |
| American | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.25% |
| North American Indigenous | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.25% |
| Saskatchewanian | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Buddhist | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Immigration Profile
Immigration patterns vary a great deal from one area to another, which makes this data one of the more distinctive parts of Shoal Lake 39A's population profile.
About 0.0% of Shoal Lake 39A's population are immigrants (0 people).
The top countries of origin for Shoal Lake 39A's immigrant population are Brazil (0), Colombia (0), El Salvador (0), Guyana (0), Haiti (0).
| Country of Birth | Population |
|---|---|
| Brazil | 0 |
| Colombia | 0 |
| El Salvador | 0 |
| Guyana | 0 |
| Haiti | 0 |
Household and Dwelling Characteristics
About 130 of Shoal Lake 39A's population live in a single-detached house. In addition, most of them are living in 1 person household.
Household Size
About 14.05% of the population lives in 1 person households. 2 persons households ranked second, accounting for 12.50% of the population. 3 persons, 4 persons, and 5 or more persons households account for 7.80%, 7.80%, and 7.80%, respectively.
| Number of Person(s) in Household | Total | Percentage |
|---|---|---|
| 1 person | 45 | 14.05% |
| 2 persons | 40 | 12.50% |
| 3 persons | 25 | 7.80% |
| 4 persons | 25 | 7.80% |
| 5 or more persons | 25 | 7.80% |
Income in Shoal Lake 39A
Analyzing income distribution in Shoal Lake 39A can help us better understand its socioeconomic dynamics.
Per Capita Income
According to 2020 data, the median personal income within Shoal Lake 39A is $23,800.
A region's per capita data sheds light on the average income earned per person living in it. Since per capita income is calculated by dividing the region's total income by its population, it quantifies the population's economic situation on an individual basis.
Such data offers insights into the Indian reserve's economic performance, spread of income across individuals, quality of life, as well as disparities within its borders.
Most of Shoal Lake 39A population or around 70 people falls in the Under $10,000 group. The next largest groups are the $30,000 to $49,999, and $10,000 to $29,999 with around 50 and 45 people, respectively.
Household Income
The Shoal Lake 39A's median household income is $46,000, according to 2020 data.
Below national average Shoal Lake 39A's median household income is 38,000 dollars below the Canadian national median of $84,000 (2020 data, 2021 Census).
The data provides important insights into the Indian reserve's economic landscape as well as the living standards of its population.
Analyzing such data enables researchers, policymakers, and businesses to gain a more comprehensive understanding of the Indian reserve's income distribution, disparities, and trends.
Education Levels in Shoal Lake 39A
This data sheds light on the distribution of Shoal Lake 39A residents across educational milestones.
Such information is crucial in shaping the province’s policies on education, workforce development strategies, and initiatives that aim to improve access to quality education and promote lifelong learning opportunities.
39.50% or most of the Shoal Lake 39A population has a Postsecondary certificate, diploma or degree. 32.60% of the population has a High (secondary) school diploma or equivalency certificate, and 27.90% has a No certificate, diploma or degree. (Individual figures may not sum to exactly 100% due to Statistics Canada's random rounding of small-area 25% sample data.)
| Degree | Men | Women | Total | Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Postsecondary certificate, diploma or degree | 40 | 45 | 85 | 39.50% |
| High (secondary) school diploma or equivalency certificate | 30 | 40 | 70 | 32.60% |
| No certificate, diploma or degree | 35 | 20 | 60 | 27.90% |
Below national average 4.7% of Shoal Lake 39A's population has a bachelor's degree or higher, compared to the national average of 32.9% (Canada, 2021 Census).
Employment in Shoal Lake 39A
This dataset provides a snapshot of employment trends in Shoal Lake 39A. It encompasses a wide range of sectors, industries, as well as job categories.
The data shows that the unemployment rate in Shoal Lake 39A is at 16.13% which is very high.
| Status | Percentage |
|---|---|
| Employment rate | 41.94% |
| Unemployment rate | 16.13% |
Working as an Employee
The table shows the data on the total number of individuals in the Indian reserve who work as an employee. The majority of Shoal Lake 39A's population (around 71.90%) are working permanent position as an employee.
Self-employed
In the Indian reserve, there are 10 men and 0 women working as self-employed individuals, bringing the total number to 10.
| Status | Men | Women | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Self-employed | 10 | 0 | 10 |
Employment Industry Sectors
The Shoal Lake 39A industry employment sector census data offers insights into the region's economic landscape. The distribution of employment in Shoal Lake 39A is categorized and quantified, which reveals the region's economic composition.
Shoal Lake 39A has a wide range of industries. Most of its population (25%) works in the public administration sector. The Health care and social assistance sector comes second at 22%, followed by Educational services at 16%.
| Industry | Men | Women | Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public administration | 25 | 20 | 25% |
| Health care and social assistance | 0 | 30 | 22% |
| Educational services | 20 | 10 | 16% |
| Construction | 10 | 0 | 6% |
| Administrative and support, waste management and remediation services | 10 | 0 | 6% |
| Accommodation and food services | 0 | 0 | 6% |
| Other services (except public administration) | 0 | 0 | 6% |
| Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Utilities | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Manufacturing | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Wholesale trade | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Retail trade | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Transportation and warehousing | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Information and cultural industries | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Finance and insurance | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Real estate and rental and leasing | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Professional, scientific and technical services | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Management of companies and enterprises | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Arts, entertainment and recreation | 0 | 0 | 0% |
Labour Market Snapshot
A quick snapshot of where Shoal Lake 39A residents work — the leading industry sectors employing them, and the broad occupation categories they work in.
Top employer sectors in Shoal Lake 39A: Public administration (25%), Health care and social assistance (22%), Educational services (16%)
Top occupation categories in Shoal Lake 39A: Occupations in education, law and social, community and government services (31%), Sales and service occupations (25%), Trades, transport and equipment operators and related occupations (19%)
Places of Work
The data offers insights into the commuting patterns as well as workplace distribution in the Indian reserve. It provides a snapshot of workplaces, showing their geographic distribution and the flow of workers across different areas.
| Work Location | Men | Women | Total | Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Usual place of work | 55 | 60 | 110 | 84.60% |
| No fixed workplace address | 15 | 0 | 15 | 11.50% |
| Worked at home | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% |
| Worked outside Canada | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% |
Commuting
The data sheds light on how Shoal Lake 39A residents travel to school or work. It highlights the frequency of different modes of transportation like walking, cycling, carpooling, and public transit.
The data is pivotal in the making of transportation policies as well as the development of transit systems. Ultimately commuting data contributes to improving the quality of life of Shoal Lake 39A residents and sustainable urban planning.
Commuting Duration
This data reveals the average time that the residents of Shoal Lake 39A spend traveling to their workplaces. It also sheds light on the efficiency of the Indian reserve's public transit systems, and road networks, as well as the accessibility of the Indian reserve.
| Duration | Percentage |
|---|---|
| Less than 15 minutes | 76.90% |
| 30 to 44 minutes | 7.70% |
| 45 to 59 minutes | 7.70% |
| 60 minutes and over | 7.70% |
| 15 to 29 minutes | 0.00% |
Marital Status
The statistics on marital status in Shoal Lake 39A shed light on its societal dynamics. It captures the diverse types of marital statuses of the population.
Long-term commitments, such as common-law partnerships, civil unions, and marriages, reflect the Indian reserve's social fabric. We can gain insights into Shoal Lake 39A's changing preferences and norms by examining the trends in marital status.
Language Spoken
The data below highlights Indian reserve's linguistic diversity, showing elegances of solo language as well as bilingual harmonies. Other than language, it also shows the cultural landscape in Canada.
English is the most spoken official language in Shoal Lake 39A. About 445 people living in the Indian reserve speak English, 0 people speak French, 0 people speak English and French language, and 0 people speak Neither English nor French language.
| Language | Population |
|---|---|
| English | 445 |
| French | 0 |
| English and French | 0 |
| Neither English nor French | 0 |
Mother Tongue & Home Language
Useful for newcomers researching an area: this shows the language residents first learned at home in childhood (mother tongue) and the language they speak most often at home now, which can differ as families settle in.
| Language | Mother Tongue | Spoken Most Often at Home |
|---|---|---|
| English | 76.4% | 94.4% |
| Non-official languages | 21.3% | 4.5% |
| French | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Religion
Shoal Lake 39A is predominantly Christian. About 60 of its population is Christian (35 males and 25 females).
The second largest religion in the Indian reserve is Buddhist with 0.0% of the population adhering to the religion. There are also Hindu and Jewish, both represent 0.0% and 0.0% of the population, while Muslim represent 0.0% of the population.
| Religion | Population |
|---|---|
| Christian | 13.5% |
| Buddhist | 0.0% |
| Hindu | 0.0% |
| Jewish | 0.0% |
| Islam | 0.0% |
| Sikh | 0.0% |
Nearest Indian Reserves to Shoal Lake 39A
- Shoal Lake 34B2 5.3 km · 81 people
- Rat Portage 38A 33.8 km · 171 people
- Lake of the Woods 37 35.5 km · 49 people
- The Dalles 38C 47.2 km · 180 people
- Kenora 38B 47.5 km · 402 people
- Wabaseemoong 57.4 km · 815 people
- Saug-A-Gaw-Sing 1 80.0 km · 136 people
- Big Island Mainland 93 83.5 km · 5 people
Frequently Asked Questions about Shoal Lake 39A
According to the 2021 Statistics Canada Census, Shoal Lake 39A has a population of 445 people, making it the 358th Indian reserve in Ontario. The population increased significantly from 391 in 2016, an increase of 54 people or 13.81%. The Indian reserve has a population density of 13.7 people per km² across a land area of 32.55 km². The 2026 Census results are expected from Statistics Canada beginning February 2027.
Shoal Lake 39A's population grew by 13.81% between the 2016 and 2021 censuses — from 391 to 445 people, a gain of 54 residents. This growth is above average compared to many other Ontario Indian reserves during this period. The median age of 27.60 years suggests a comparatively young population. Official 2026 Census data, which will confirm whether this trend continued, is expected from Statistics Canada in February 2027.
Shoal Lake 39A has a population density of approximately 13.70 people per square kilometre.
Shoal Lake 39A covers a land area of approximately 32.55 km².
The median age of the population in Shoal Lake 39A is 27.60 years.
The largest ethnic or cultural origin group in Shoal Lake 39A is Ojibway.
The median household income in Shoal Lake 39A is $46,000, based on 2020 data.
English is the most common first official language spoken in Shoal Lake 39A.
Christian is the predominant religion in Shoal Lake 39A.
Statistics Canada (statcan.gc.ca) conducted the 2026 Census of Population in May 2026. However, census data goes through an extensive processing, validation, and quality-assurance period before public release. Based on the release plan, the 2026 Census results begin rolling out on February 10, 2027, with complete community-level profiles available by December 1, 2027. Until then, this page uses 2021 Census data as its primary source, supplemented by a population projection estimate for 2026 calculated using the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from the 2016–2021 Census period.